Brock BowersorBucky Irving?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end or running back.
Our call
Start Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Brock Bowers in 56% of simulations.
Brock Bowers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bucky Irving is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bucky Irving projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Brock Bowers faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (15+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 20.6
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs KC | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 22.6 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 52% |
| Trade value | 33 | 17 |