D'Andre SwiftorGeorge Kittle?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores George Kittle in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: George Kittle comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. D'Andre Swift has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); George Kittle faces the Seattle Seahawks (2% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (15+):
- 35%
- Dud (under 5):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.2 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 15.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at GB | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.6 | 14.1 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 35% | 91% |
| Trade value | 32 | 42 |