Elijah MitchellorTy Johnson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Elijah Mitchell
Elijah Mitchell outscores Ty Johnson in 56% of simulations.
Ty Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Elijah Mitchell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 5.1 half-PPR points in Week 8. Elijah Mitchell has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs); Ty Johnson faces the Baltimore Ravens (6% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ty Johnson is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 9.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Elijah MitchellRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| Standard projection | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | RB48 | RB47 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Last season per game | 0.0 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 18% |
| Trade value | — | — |