Geno SmithorJayden Daniels?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels outscores Geno Smith in 69% of simulations.
Geno Smith still comes out ahead in the other 31%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 4.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jayden Daniels has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs); Geno Smith faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 49%
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Geno SmithQB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 17.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.2 | 17.7 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at KC | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.4 | 20.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 16.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |