Deshaun WatsonorMatthew Stafford?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford outscores Deshaun Watson in 72% of simulations.
Deshaun Watson still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Matthew Stafford is the better bet, not a sure thing. Matthew Stafford projects 5.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Matthew Stafford has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (16% more than average to QBs); Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
- Floor
- 10.2
- Median
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 28.8
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew StaffordQB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 18.8 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 18.8 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB6 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 15.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 20.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |