Jameis WinstonorMarcus Mariota?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Marcus Mariota
Marcus Mariota outscores Jameis Winston in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jameis Winston comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Marcus Mariota, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 0.6 half-PPR points in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Marcus Mariota faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs), Jameis Winston faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.5
- Ceiling
- 1.1
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.5
- Ceiling
- 1.0
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marcus MariotaQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| PPR projection | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Standard projection | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Rank this week | QB30 | QB31 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.3 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 8% | 16% |
| Trade value | — | — |