Jaylen WarrenorRashee Rice?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Rashee Rice in 60% of simulations.
Rashee Rice still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jaylen Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Warren projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Warren faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs), Rashee Rice faces the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jaylen Warren wins 69%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.4 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 14.9 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | RB7 | WR9 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.0 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 58% |
| Trade value | 48 | 34 |