Jeremiyah LoveorZay Flowers?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers outscores Jeremiyah Love in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jeremiyah Love comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Zay Flowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Zay Flowers projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Zay Flowers faces the Tennessee Titans (13% more than average to WRs), Jeremiyah Love faces the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 26.9
- Big game (20+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 15.1 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | WR8 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 18.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 33% |
| Trade value | 25 | 36 |