Josh JacobsorMalik Nabers?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Malik Nabers in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Malik Nabers comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Josh Jacobs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malik Nabers projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs); Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (16% fewer than average to RBs). Josh Jacobs still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Malik Nabers is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 15.7 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 11.3 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | WR6 |
| Matchup | at NE | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.9 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 71% | 73% |
| Trade value | 43 | 43 |