Keenan AllenorTank Dell?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tank Dell
Tank Dell outscores Keenan Allen in 60% of simulations.
Keenan Allen still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Tank Dell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tank Dell projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Tank Dell faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Tank Dell still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tank Dell wins 53%; in Standard leagues, Tank Dell wins 70%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tank DellWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 10.4 |
| Rank this week | WR25 | WR12 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 47% |
| Trade value | — | 30 |