Keenan AllenorZach Charbonnet?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet outscores Keenan Allen in 56% of simulations.
Keenan Allen still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Zach Charbonnet is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zach Charbonnet projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Zach Charbonnet faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs). Zach Charbonnet still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Keenan Allen is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Zach Charbonnet wins 66%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | WR31 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |