Kyle MonangaiorWoody Marks?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kyle Monangai
Kyle Monangai outscores Woody Marks in 56% of simulations.
Woody Marks still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Kyle Monangai is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyle Monangai projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kyle Monangai has the better matchup against the New York Jets (27% more than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.0 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB29 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 31% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |