Quinshon JudkinsorRachaad White?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Quinshon Judkins

Quinshon Judkins outscores Rachaad White in 56% of simulations.

Rachaad White still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Quinshon Judkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quinshon Judkins projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% fewer than average to RBs). Quinshon Judkins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Quinshon Judkins
Floor
3.3
Median
7.9
Ceiling
15.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
33%
Rachaad White
Floor
2.6
Median
7.0
Ceiling
14.9
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatQuinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ETRachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.08.1
PPR projection10.19.5
Standard projection7.96.8
Rank this weekRB28RB31
Matchupvs PITvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.48.5
Last season per game11.27.2
Snap share, last game51%43%
Trade value2—