Quinshon JudkinsorTee Higgins?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins outscores Quinshon Judkins in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Quinshon Judkins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tee Higgins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quinshon Judkins projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Quinshon Judkins has the better matchup against the New York Jets (32% more than average to RBs); Tee Higgins faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs). Tee Higgins still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quinshon Judkins is the pick at 53%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Quinshon Judkins
Floor
4.7
Median
11.3
Ceiling
22.6
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
17%
Tee Higgins
Floor
4.5
Median
11.2
Ceiling
22.9
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
18%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatQuinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.812.6
PPR projection14.415.0
Standard projection11.210.2
Rank this weekRB12WR11
Matchupat NYJat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.214.7
Last season per game11.212.1
Snap share, last game66%79%
Trade value1641