Roman WilsonorTory Horton?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Tory Horton
Tory Horton outscores Roman Wilson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Roman Wilson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tory Horton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Roman Wilson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Roman Wilson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the San Francisco 49ers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Tory Horton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Roman WilsonWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | WR43 | WR44 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 31% | 17% |
| Trade value | — | — |