Ted Hurst IIIorTutu Atwell?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Ted Hurst III

Ted Hurst III outscores Tutu Atwell in 58% of simulations.

Tutu Atwell still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Ted Hurst III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ted Hurst III projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Ted Hurst III faces the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs), Tutu Atwell faces the Washington Commanders (10% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Ted Hurst III
Floor
0.9
Median
3.0
Ceiling
7.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
84%
Tutu Atwell
Floor
0.2
Median
2.2
Ceiling
8.3
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
82%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatTed Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ETTutu AtwellWR, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection3.63.5
PPR projection4.34.0
Standard projection2.92.9
Rank this weekWR68WR69
Matchupat CHIat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.02.7
Last season per game—3.5
Snap share, last game42%39%
Trade value——