Alvin KamaraorJawhar Jordan?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Alvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara outscores Jawhar Jordan in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jawhar Jordan comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Alvin Kamara, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Alvin Kamara projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jawhar Jordan has the better matchup against the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs); Alvin Kamara faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Alvin Kamara still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET | Jawhar JordanRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 7.0 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB26 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 6.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 26% | 22% |
| Trade value | 2 | — |