Jawhar JordanorOllie Gordon II?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jawhar Jordan
Jawhar Jordan outscores Ollie Gordon II in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ollie Gordon II comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jawhar Jordan, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Ollie Gordon II has the better matchup against the New York Jets (21% more than average to RBs); Jawhar Jordan faces the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs). Jawhar Jordan still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jawhar JordanRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | RB26 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 6.6 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 22% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |