J.K. DobbinsorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores J.K. Dobbins in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: J.K. Dobbins comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); J.K. Dobbins faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.9 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB20 | RB18 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 44% |
| Trade value | 5 | — |