Amon-Ra St. BrownorMike Evans?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Mike Evans in 60% of simulations.
Mike Evans still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Amon-Ra St. Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the New England Patriots (10% more than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 19.7 | 15.0 |
| Standard projection | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.9 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 40% |
| Trade value | 50 | 18 |