Ashton JeantyorCeeDee Lamb?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Ashton Jeanty in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean CeeDee Lamb, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. CeeDee Lamb projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Ashton Jeanty has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (18% more than average to RBs); CeeDee Lamb faces the Green Bay Packers (3% fewer than average to WRs). CeeDee Lamb still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ashton Jeanty is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 27.6
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 15%
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.8 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.6 | 11.9 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | WR4 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.7 | 19.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 53% | 57% |
| Trade value | 29 | 47 |