Ashton JeantyorGeorge Kittle?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Ashton Jeanty in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean George Kittle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. George Kittle projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Seattle Seahawks (2% fewer than average to TEs); Ashton Jeanty faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (15+):
- 35%
- Dud (under 5):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 13.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at NE | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.1 | 14.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 91% |
| Trade value | 37 | 42 |