Ashton JeantyorRashee Rice?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Ashton Jeanty in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rashee Rice projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to WRs); Ashton Jeanty faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.3 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 77% |
| Trade value | 31 | 30 |