Breece HallorTrey McBride?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Breece Hall in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Breece Hall comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Trey McBride projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Breece Hall has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (15% more than average to RBs); Trey McBride faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Trey McBride wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Breece Hall is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.7 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.2 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | TE2 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 83% |
| Trade value | 17 | 42 |