Brock BowersorChris Olave?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Brock Bowers in 56% of simulations.
Brock Bowers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Chris Olave is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Olave projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Olave faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to WRs), Brock Bowers faces the New England Patriots (14% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 13.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.7 | 17.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.1 | 18.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 86% |
| Trade value | 50 | 51 |