Brock BowersorChristian Watson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Brock Bowers in 55% of simulations.
Brock Bowers still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Christian Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Christian Watson projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Christian Watson has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (7% more than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the New England Patriots (15% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 13.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.7 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR9 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.1 | 16.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 11.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 68% |
| Trade value | 47 | 38 |