Brock BowersorDeVonta Smith?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores DeVonta Smith in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Brock Bowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (13% more than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 15%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 15.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR11 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 66% |
| Trade value | 34 | 20 |