Brock BowersorMike Evans?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Brock Bowers in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mike Evans, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the Buffalo Bills (26% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (15+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.2 | 14.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.7 | 12.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 70% | 63% |
| Trade value | 42 | 19 |