Bucky IrvingorDe'Von Achane?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving outscores De'Von Achane in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: De'Von Achane comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Bucky Irving, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bucky Irving projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); De'Von Achane faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bucky Irving
Floor
6.0
Median
11.5
Ceiling
20.2
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
10%
De'Von Achane
Floor
5.7
Median
10.9
Ceiling
18.3
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
12%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETDe'Von AchaneRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.511.4
PPR projection14.412.9
Standard projection10.710.0
Rank this weekRB13RB16
Matchupvs GBat MIN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.57.0
Last season per game12.318.1
Snap share, last game52%5%
Trade value1724