Amon-Ra St. BrownorBucky Irving?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Bucky Irving in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bucky Irving comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bucky Irving projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown wins 55%; in Standard leagues, Bucky Irving is the pick at 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 14.4 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 10.8 | 13.1 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | RB10 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.6 | 14.4 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 59% |
| Trade value | 57 | 34 |