Chase BrownorDavante Adams?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Davante Adams in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Davante Adams comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chase Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chase Brown projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Chase Brown has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (18% more than average to RBs); Davante Adams faces the Buffalo Bills (average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 26.1
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Davante AdamsWR, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.8 | 14.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.4 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 11.9 |
| Rank this week | RB8 | WR8 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 15.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 13.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 95% |
| Trade value | 33 | 46 |