Chris OlaveorDerrick Henry?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry outscores Chris Olave in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Olave comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Derrick Henry, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Derrick Henry projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Derrick Henry faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs), Chris Olave faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave is the pick at 57%; in Standard leagues, Derrick Henry wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 13.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | RB12 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 15.1 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 16.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 50% |
| Trade value | 35 | 31 |