Chuba HubbardorGeorge Kittle?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores George Kittle in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: George Kittle comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Chuba Hubbard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chuba Hubbard projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs); Chuba Hubbard faces the Denver Broncos (6% fewer than average to RBs). Chuba Hubbard still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Chuba Hubbard wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 15.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | TE4 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 91% |
| Trade value | 28 | 27 |