David MontgomeryorJordan Mason?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores Jordan Mason in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Mason comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean David Montgomery, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. David Montgomery projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jordan Mason has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (8% more than average to RBs); David Montgomery faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs). David Montgomery still wins more often despite that. David Montgomery is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at CLE | at GB |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.4 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 7.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 14% | 48% |
| Trade value | — | — |