Davis AllenorEli Raridon?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Eli Raridon
Eli Raridon outscores Davis Allen in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Davis Allen comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Eli Raridon, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Eli Raridon projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Davis Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (40% more than average to TEs); Eli Raridon faces the Green Bay Packers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Eli Raridon still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 9.8
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (15+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 5):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Davis AllenTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Eli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| PPR projection | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Standard projection | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Rank this week | TE32 | TE30 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | — |