Davis AllenorNoah Fant?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Noah Fant
Noah Fant outscores Davis Allen in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Davis Allen comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Noah Fant, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Noah Fant projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Davis Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (40% more than average to TEs); Noah Fant faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs). Noah Fant still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 9.8
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 9.8
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Davis AllenTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Noah FantTE, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| PPR projection | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| Standard projection | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Rank this week | TE32 | TE31 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.4 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |