Drake LondonorGeorge Kittle?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Drake London in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Drake London comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean George Kittle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. George Kittle projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (3% more than average to TEs); Drake London faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (15+):
- 35%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Drake LondonWR, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.4 | 15.8 |
| Standard projection | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.0 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 85% |
| Trade value | 33 | 30 |