Eli RaridonorTheo Johnson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Eli Raridon
Eli Raridon outscores Theo Johnson in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Theo Johnson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Eli Raridon, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Theo Johnson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Eli Raridon has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (25% fewer than average to TEs); Theo Johnson faces the Philadelphia Eagles (37% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (15+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 5):
- 64%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 8.9
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 66%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Eli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Theo JohnsonTE, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| PPR projection | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| Standard projection | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Rank this week | TE30 | TE29 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 48% |
| Trade value | — | — |