Garrett WilsonorQuentin Johnston?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Quentin Johnston in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Quentin Johnston comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that. Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at BAL |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 83% |
| Trade value | 17 | — |