Jameis WinstonorJustin Herbert?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston outscores Justin Herbert in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justin Herbert comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jameis Winston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jameis Winston projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Jameis Winston faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to QBs), Justin Herbert faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin HerbertQB, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB21 |
| Matchup | vs NO | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.1 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.3 | 17.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |