Javonte WilliamsorJeremiyah Love?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love outscores Javonte Williams in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Javonte Williams comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jeremiyah Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jeremiyah Love projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the Houston Texans (19% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 14.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at HOU | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.2 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 64% |
| Trade value | 35 | 25 |