John Metchie IIIorTed Hurst III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores John Metchie III in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: John Metchie III comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Ted Hurst III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 3.6 half-PPR points in Week 9. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs); John Metchie III faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 7.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 81%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 7.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 84%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | John Metchie IIIWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| PPR projection | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Standard projection | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Rank this week | WR67 | WR68 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Last season per game | 4.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 42% |
| Trade value | — | — |