Jordan AddisonorKC Concepcion?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores KC Concepcion in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jordan Addison has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to WRs); KC Concepcion faces the New Orleans Saints (7% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR35 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |