Kayshon BoutteorKeenan Allen?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores Kayshon Boutte in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kayshon Boutte projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Keenan Allen faces the Miami Dolphins (11% fewer than average to WRs), Kayshon Boutte faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Keenan Allen wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Kayshon Boutte is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR34 | WR36 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 33% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |