Keenan AllenorRyan Flournoy?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores Ryan Flournoy in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ryan Flournoy comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Ryan Flournoy has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (average to WRs); Keenan Allen faces the Minnesota Vikings (21% fewer than average to WRs). Keenan Allen still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at MIN | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 71% | 87% |
| Trade value | — | — |