Keaton MitchellorTy Johnson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ty Johnson
Ty Johnson outscores Keaton Mitchell in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keaton Mitchell comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ty Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ty Johnson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Ty Johnson faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs), Keaton Mitchell faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 76%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 9.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keaton MitchellRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Rank this week | RB43 | RB41 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 31% | 24% |
| Trade value | — | — |