Kirk CousinsorLamar Jackson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson outscores Kirk Cousins in 56% of simulations.
Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Lamar Jackson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Lamar Jackson projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kirk Cousins has the better matchup against the New York Jets (12% more than average to QBs); Lamar Jackson faces the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to QBs). Lamar Jackson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 26.6
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 30%
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 28.3
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lamar JacksonQB, BAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 18.0 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 18.0 |
| Standard projection | 16.6 | 18.0 |
| Rank this week | QB12 | QB8 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.8 | 19.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.4 | 16.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 52% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |