Malik NabersorTrey McBride?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Malik Nabers in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Malik Nabers comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Trey McBride projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs); Trey McBride faces the Los Angeles Rams (22% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Malik Nabers is the pick at 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 20.9
- Big game (15+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 5):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 8.9 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | TE4 |
| Matchup | vs NO | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 90% |
| Trade value | 29 | 38 |