Malik NabersorZay Flowers?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers outscores Zay Flowers in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Zay Flowers comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Malik Nabers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malik Nabers projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Malik Nabers faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs), Zay Flowers faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (7% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 13.2 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 14.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 82% |
| Trade value | 43 | 29 |