Quinshon JudkinsorWoody Marks?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Woody Marks in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Woody Marks comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Quinshon Judkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quinshon Judkins projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Woody Marks has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (15% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% fewer than average to RBs). Quinshon Judkins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.9 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB30 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.2 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 37% |
| Trade value | 2 | — |